Coronavirus investing strategy: How to profit with stock index options – Business Insider Nordic
Posted: March 20, 2020 at 3:44 am
When the US economy showed signs of vulnerability in October, James McDonald took special notice.
The CEO and chief investment officer of Hercules Investments saw the first indication of possible risk to markets when a key gauge of manufacturing activity shrank for two straight months.
At the time, the S&P 500 was in a bull market that was unprecedented in its duration and gains. Also, the Cboe Volatility Index, known as the VIX, was near historic lows, showing that investors expected the good times to persist.
But then came the coronavirus, which was so crippling to the global economy that investors could not shrug it off as they had the manufacturing slowdown, Hong Kong protests, and impeachment trial. Volatility blew up as investors realized that normal life was grinding to a halt across the globe.
McDonald was ready for this. He is among the investors who have cashed in the market's turmoil, thanks to strategies he adopted ahead of time to profit from this kind of volatility.
"In my 26 years, I've never had a trading strategy that has had as much consistency and safety," he told Business Insider.
Back in October, his firm, which manages $150 million in assets, engaged its High Sigma strategy purchasing out-of-the-money call options on the ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF that profits from higher expected stock-market volatility.
The underlying ETF's price went from about $11 as the S&P 500 peaked on February 19 to above $126 on Wednesday a gain of more than 1,050%.
As a result, McDonald's options trades that bet on this price trajectory have paid off handsomely.
That strategy is over, McDonald said. He is now shifting to what he calls a Gamma Yield strategy that's designed to take advantage of excess volatility and fear in the market.
The strategy monetizes these emotions by selling Cboe-listed options on the cash indexes for the Nasdaq 100, the Russell 2000, and the S&P 500.
His rationale is that options earn part of their value from anticipated price changes in the underlying security. And so the more fear exists in markets, the better the strategy performs.
"As long as there's fear in the markets, these premiums are going to stay high," he said. He added, "I think we can run Gamma Yield all the way to the election."
A cursory look at the stock market's moves during the past couple of days demonstrates why these options have been so profitable. Quadruple-point moves on the Dow Jones Industrial Average have been commonplace since late February, for example. Consequently, these options have become more valuable to account for the wide range of possibilities that traders are pricing in for the future.
"We've done over 700 trades, and every single one of them has been profitable," McDonald said. "We have not had a single loser because of this environment and it makes no sense to do anything else at this point. We're focused on capturing the unique opportunity that we have."
He said the gains of each trade averaged out to 60% to 90%.
McDonald sees no reason to invest any other way for as long as the market is in free fall. He expects volatility to eventually normalize, just as it departed from its normal historical range. But buying index call options should remain profitable all the way through the election because smaller pockets of volatility are likely.
"If we can find a vaccine, that will be great," McDonald said. "But it's not going to erase the negative revenues and the negative industrial output probably for Q2."
See original here:
Coronavirus investing strategy: How to profit with stock index options - Business Insider Nordic
- SoundCloud Gets Investment From Union Square, Index [Last Updated On: January 9th, 2011] [Originally Added On: January 9th, 2011]
- Return On Investment (ROI) Definition | Investopedia [Last Updated On: September 14th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 14th, 2015]
- Investing News - Investment Articles - Investing Research [Last Updated On: September 14th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 14th, 2015]
- InvestmentNews - The Investing News Source for Financial ... [Last Updated On: September 14th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 14th, 2015]
- Investment management - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia [Last Updated On: September 14th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 14th, 2015]
- Investment - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia [Last Updated On: September 14th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 14th, 2015]
- Investment Education & Advice for Investors - Investment U [Last Updated On: September 14th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 14th, 2015]
- Forbes - Investing Information and Investing News - Forbes.com [Last Updated On: September 15th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 15th, 2015]
- Fidelity Investments - Retirement, Funds, and Online Trading [Last Updated On: September 15th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 15th, 2015]
- Investment | Define Investment at Dictionary.com [Last Updated On: September 15th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 15th, 2015]
- Investment Definition | Investopedia [Last Updated On: September 15th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 15th, 2015]
- Find what type of investment is right for you - INVESTMENTS [Last Updated On: September 15th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 15th, 2015]
- Investopedia - Educating the world about finance [Last Updated On: September 20th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 20th, 2015]
- Investment, Mutual Funds, ETFs & Stocks | Bankrate.com [Last Updated On: September 26th, 2015] [Originally Added On: September 26th, 2015]
- Gold as an investment - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia [Last Updated On: October 4th, 2015] [Originally Added On: October 4th, 2015]
- Green Card Through Investment | USCIS [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- What is Investment ? Meaning and Types of Investment [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Host.al - Albanian Domain AL Accredited Registrar [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Alpha Investment Plan - Alpha Bank Albania [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- RealEstate.al - Apartment-Villa-Office For rent or for sale ... [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Attractiveness of foreign investments in Albania [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- INVESTMENT CLIMATE | Embassy of the Republic of Albania in Japan [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Princip.al :: Welcome to Princip.al [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Foreign direct investment - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Investment Moats Wealth Mentor for Financial Independence [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Investment | Nicole Gesmondi Photographer, LLC [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- investment - Thesaurus.com [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- What is Investment? | eHow [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Investment banking - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Investment Jobs on CareerBuilder.com [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Articles about Investment - timesofindia-economictimes [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Investment Definition - What is Investment? [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Investing Basics | Investor.gov [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Investing.com - Stock Market Quotes & Financial News [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Best Investments Good Investments in 2015 and Beyond [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Investment Calculators [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Investment: a key concept in Economics [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- SEC.gov | Investment Companies [Last Updated On: January 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: January 22nd, 2016]
- Careers-in-Investment-Banking.com: Your Guide to ... [Last Updated On: February 8th, 2016] [Originally Added On: February 8th, 2016]
- Investment Property and Investment Real Estate For Sale [Last Updated On: February 8th, 2016] [Originally Added On: February 8th, 2016]
- Investment and Sustainable Development [Last Updated On: February 16th, 2016] [Originally Added On: February 16th, 2016]
- Investment Images - Photos - Pictures - CrystalGraphics [Last Updated On: February 16th, 2016] [Originally Added On: February 16th, 2016]
- Investment - Simple English Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia [Last Updated On: February 20th, 2016] [Originally Added On: February 20th, 2016]
- Types of Investments - MoneySENSE [Last Updated On: February 20th, 2016] [Originally Added On: February 20th, 2016]
- Smart Ways to Invest Your Money and Minimize Risks [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2016]
- Investing in Mining Stocks, Metals and Commodities ... [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2016]
- What is Investment Banking? (with picture) [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2016]
- Investments - The New York Times [Last Updated On: March 17th, 2016] [Originally Added On: March 17th, 2016]
- investment - English-Spanish Dictionary - WordReference.com [Last Updated On: March 20th, 2016] [Originally Added On: March 20th, 2016]
- Investment fund - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia [Last Updated On: March 20th, 2016] [Originally Added On: March 20th, 2016]
- What Is An Investment Bank - An Intro To Investment Banks [Last Updated On: May 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: May 10th, 2016]
- Investment Property Advisors - Home [Last Updated On: May 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: May 10th, 2016]
- Investment Savings Bank [Last Updated On: May 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: May 10th, 2016]
- US Investment Report [Last Updated On: May 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: May 10th, 2016]
- Investment House [Last Updated On: May 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: May 10th, 2016]
- Best investments - 10 steps to investing money | uSwitch [Last Updated On: May 17th, 2016] [Originally Added On: May 17th, 2016]
- investment - The Motley Fool [Last Updated On: May 17th, 2016] [Originally Added On: May 17th, 2016]
- How to Invest Small Amounts of Money Wisely: 12 Steps [Last Updated On: May 17th, 2016] [Originally Added On: May 17th, 2016]
- Investing with us | HSBC UK [Last Updated On: May 17th, 2016] [Originally Added On: May 17th, 2016]
- Investment Risks | Consumer Information [Last Updated On: June 27th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 27th, 2016]
- Invest In Shipping Containers | Invest Containers [Last Updated On: July 1st, 2016] [Originally Added On: July 1st, 2016]
- Investment - Trade - European Commission [Last Updated On: July 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: July 10th, 2016]
- investment | finance | Britannica.com [Last Updated On: August 15th, 2016] [Originally Added On: August 15th, 2016]
- What does investment mean? definition, meaning and ... [Last Updated On: August 17th, 2016] [Originally Added On: August 17th, 2016]
- Investment Options | Investment Plans in India | Online ... [Last Updated On: August 17th, 2016] [Originally Added On: August 17th, 2016]
- Investment Returns [Last Updated On: August 17th, 2016] [Originally Added On: August 17th, 2016]
- The Mental Health Benefits of Exercise: The Exercise ... [Last Updated On: July 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: July 8th, 2017]
- PayPal co-founder launches firm to raise investment funds for SpaceX, report says - Los Angeles Times [Last Updated On: July 30th, 2017] [Originally Added On: July 30th, 2017]
- Bitcoin Investment Vehicle Adopts Open Strategy Ahead of Blockchain Fork - CoinDesk [Last Updated On: July 30th, 2017] [Originally Added On: July 30th, 2017]
- How to Spot a Good Investment in a Changing Neighborhood - Mansion Global [Last Updated On: July 30th, 2017] [Originally Added On: July 30th, 2017]
- SoftBank Vision Fund investments so far - CNBC.com - CNBC [Last Updated On: July 30th, 2017] [Originally Added On: July 30th, 2017]
- Vanguard's new chief investment officer has a warning for investors - The Denver Post [Last Updated On: July 30th, 2017] [Originally Added On: July 30th, 2017]
- MARKET MATTERS: When life throws a curveball at your investment timeline - New Haven Register [Last Updated On: July 30th, 2017] [Originally Added On: July 30th, 2017]
- Investment prosperity can make investors complacent - The Seattle Times [Last Updated On: July 30th, 2017] [Originally Added On: July 30th, 2017]
- Risky business: Keeping an eye on Chinese investment - POLITICO.eu [Last Updated On: July 30th, 2017] [Originally Added On: July 30th, 2017]
- Somaliland secures record $442m foreign investment deal - CNN [Last Updated On: August 2nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: August 2nd, 2017]
- China isn't discouraging overseas investment, only regulating it, Beijing-backed think tanker says - CNBC [Last Updated On: August 2nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: August 2nd, 2017]
- China issues rules to curb state firms' overseas investment risks - Reuters [Last Updated On: August 2nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: August 2nd, 2017]
- Unilever's Latest Investment Targets New Route into Homes - Fortune [Last Updated On: August 2nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: August 2nd, 2017]
- Hundreds of jobs, $139 million investment planned in Morgan County by major companies - whnt.com [Last Updated On: August 2nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: August 2nd, 2017]