Is Bitcoin’s Post-Halving Dip Temporary? – The Motley Fool
Posted: May 24, 2024 at 2:48 am
Despite a recent dip following its fourth halving, Bitcoin remains in great shape with plenty of upside.
Bitcoin (BTC -3.46%), the world's first and most well-known cryptocurrency, has been making headlines once again. Following its fourth halving on April 19th, which reduced its inflation rate to a mere 0.85%, Bitcoin soared to a new all-time high of $73,000 in anticipation of this significant event.
However, since then, its price has experienced a slight dip and significant fluctuation. In fact, its price has ranged from $66,000 to $72,000 within the past 24 hours alone. So, what does this mean for investors, and is its post-halving dip just a temporary setback?
Image source: Getty Images.
In the lead-up to the halving, Bitcoin investors were abuzz with anticipation. The recently introduced spot Bitcoin ETFs were buying more than 10 times Bitcoin's daily production rate, giving Bitcoin the added boost It needed to soar to a record high of $73,000.
This milestone was particularly noteworthy because it marked the first time Bitcoin reached an all-time high before the halving event itself. Historically, Bitcoin notches a new all-time high after the halving.
Given that Bitcoin reached an all-time high before the expected timeline, it's no surprise that a rapid surge was met with a subsequent period of consolidation. This is evident from on-chain data, revealing that long-term holders started capitalizing on profits at the highest rate seen since early 2021.
For the investor who was unaware of these underlying trends, the fact that Bitcoin was still trading slightly below the $70,000 mark within the past few hours may prompt some to question whether the post-halving dip is merely a temporary setback or a sign of more significant turbulence ahead.
However, the seasoned investor understands that short-term fluctuations are par for the course for Bitcoin, even in bull markets. What's more important is to zoom out and consider the broader trend, which overwhelmingly favors Bitcoin's long-term growth trajectory.
In the years that Bitcoin underwent a halving, it has historically returned nearly 125%. When measured from the beginning of the year, that would be good enough to push its price to just over $100,000 by the end of 2024.
Yet, the real gains are made in the year after the halving once the impact of the halving begins to fully materialize. On average, during the year that follows a halving, Bitcoin's price rises more than 400%. If it follows past trends in 2024 and reaches $100,000, that means 2025 could be the year Bitcoin reaches more than $500,000.
These numbers may sound sensational, and admittedly, they should be taken with a grain of salt as past performance is rarely an indicator of future results, but it is difficult to contend with the promise that this halving cycle presents.
For the majority of Bitcoin's existence, its ascent was fueled predominantly by retail investors like you and me. However, with the recent approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, the doors have been opened for deep-pocketed institutional investors to enter the Bitcoin market. Consequently, Bitcoin's supply is poised to face unprecedented pressure, the likes of which it has probably never experienced.
In the wake of the halving, Bitcoin's supply-demand dynamics undergo a significant shift, with the reduced issuance of new coins inevitably leading to increased scarcity. This scarcity, coupled with growing demand from institutional investors and mainstream adoption, forms the foundation for Bitcoin's long-term price appreciation. In essence, Bitcoin would have to defy economic principles to not increase in value over time -- a scenario that is highly unlikely barring unforeseen catastrophic events.
While this post-halving dip may have given some investors pause, we might be seeing its impact wane. Bitcoin's price is already up more than 15% in the last week and it appears it might be building momentum for another leg up. If there is another dip in the future, it should be viewed as an opportunity rather than a cause for concern as Bitcoin's long-term fundamentals remain robust, and the temporary fluctuations in its price are simply noise in the grand scheme of things.
Read more:
Is Bitcoin's Post-Halving Dip Temporary? - The Motley Fool
- Why Bitcoin Cash And Ethereum Classic Are Ripping Higher - Benzinga [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Bidens Tax Hike Proposal and What It Means for Bitcoin 'Wash Sales' - Decrypt [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Bitcoin Bulls Rejoice: Henrik Zeberg Predicts Upward Trend Until This Happens - Coinpedia Fintech News [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Reviewing Code Is Mind-Numbing: Q&A With Bitcoin Maintainer Andrew Chow - CoinDesk [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Digital Assets Worth 2 Billion Rubles Issued in Russia in Less Than ... - Bitcoin News [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Bitcoin: Fall of Silicon Valley Bank might be a silver lining for BTC, heres why - AMBCrypto News [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- If This Trend Continues, Bitcoin Could Grow for Years to Come - The Motley Fool [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- US Fed to the rescue of banks as Bitcoin soars - The Cryptonomist [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Crypto and Bitcoin ATM adoption is highest in countries with large ... - Kitco NEWS [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Hashdex Celebrates Six-Month Anniversary of World's First Bitcoin ... - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Bitcoin a Risk to Profits Says Bank - Trustnodes [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Forget Bitcoin: BlackRock CEO Touts Next Big Thing in Crypto - U.Today [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- More than $70 billion wiped off crypto market in 24 hours as bitcoin drops below $20,000 - CNBC [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Evaluating Bitcoin as a Store of Value - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Bitcoin rallies over 18% in 24-hour span in wake of SVB crisis - TechCrunch [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Bitcoin Is PumpingBut Its Not Yet 'Decoupling' From Stocks, Analysts Say - Decrypt [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Credit Suisse Shares Drop Nearly 25%, Is Bitcoin Gearing For Another Rally? - NewsBTC [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Bitcoin Core developer proposes new type of pruned node - Protos [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- 'Rich Dad Poor Dad' Author Says Buying Bitcoin Is Vital as 'Crash and Crisis' Just Starting - U.Today [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Sphere 3D Corp. Provides Bitcoin Production and Mining Updates for February 2023 - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Cryptoverse: New bitcoin NFTs on a multi-million roll - Reuters [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Should I Keep My Money in Bitcoin or a Bank? - CoinDesk [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- FTX fiasco set back the approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs: Valkyrie investment chief - Cointelegraph [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2023] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2023]
- Bitcoin's illiquid supply hits 10-year high, signaling strong investor conviction - CryptoSlate [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Coinbase Stock and Bitcoin Are Soaring Together - Barron's [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Bitcoin whales resume accumulation, signaling confidence in market rally - CryptoSlate [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Crucial Bitcoin (BTC) Prediction Made by Samson Mow, Hold Tight - U.Today [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Swiss city Lugano to accept Bitcoin, Tether for tax payments - CryptoSlate [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Mark Your CalendarsBitcoin Rockets Past $40,000 As Date Reveals Huge $17 Trillion Bitcoin ETF Countdown Has Suddenly Begun, Heralding Ethereum, XRP... [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Expect 'records broken' by Bitcoin ETF: Brett Harrison (ex-FTX US), X Hall of Flame - Cointelegraph [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Breaking: Bitcoin price breaks $44,000: Is $50K next as BTC confirms a move above a weekly supply zone? - FXStreet [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Bitcoin and gold are smashing through key levels. Here's what's driving the moves - CNBC [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Receives $100,000 in Seed Funding - Decrypt [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Will Ethereums price prediction piggyback on Bitcoins rise? - AMBCrypto English [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Bitcoin perpetual futures open interest hits yearly high on Deribit - The Block - Crypto News [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- BlackRock, Bitwise file updated spot bitcoin ETF applications with the SEC - The Block - Crypto News [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Bitcoin has surpassed $41,000 for the first time since April 2022. What's behind the price surge? - Quartz [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Bitcoin price briefly breaks $42,000, back to pre-Terra crash level - The Block - Crypto News [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: This is the level to beat as BTC eyes $50,000 next - FXStreet [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Bitcoin price hits $44,000 as Coinbase CEO speculates BTC could be key to extending Western civilization - FXStreet [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Swiss city Lugano accepts Bitcoin and Tether for municipal taxes - Cointelegraph [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- BTC price sets new 19-month high in 'choreographed' Bitcoin whale move - Cointelegraph [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- Bitcoin tops $41,000 and hits 19-month high on ETF hopes, bets on Fed cuts - CNBC [Last Updated On: December 6th, 2023] [Originally Added On: December 6th, 2023]
- BlackRock to slash 3% of workforce ahead of Bitcoin ETF deadline: Report - Cointelegraph [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Can Bitcoin ETF Still Be Rejected? - U.Today [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin ETFs Could Spark Huge BTC Trading. The Market Appears Up to the Task - CoinDesk [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- VanEck pledges 5% of potential spot BTC ETF profits to Bitcoin core developers at Brink - The Block - Crypto News [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- 4 Stocks to Watch as Bitcoin Rally Continues Into 2024 - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- A Spot Bitcoin ETF is Coming Soon Join VettaFi Event to Learn More - ETF Trends [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- The crypto world is ready to take bitcoin ETFs to the masses. It needs the blessing of a longtime foe first. - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Crypto Stocks Rally On Report Bitcoin ETF Regulatory Approvals Could Arrive Sooner Than Expected - Investor's Business Daily [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin: four reasons why the price should surge in 2024 - The Conversation [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin ETF Fees Will Play Critical Role in the Race to Popularity - CoinDesk [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Will 2024 Be the Year of the Bitcoin ETF? - CoinDesk [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Y'all set to spend another week muttering about imminent spot bitcoin ETF approval? - ForexLive [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Mysterious Bitcoin Transaction: Satoshi Nakamotos Wallet Resurfaces in a $1.17 Million Move - CryptoPotato [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- This is the Most Interested US State in Spot Bitcoin ETF - CryptoPotato [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin ETFs Are Coming Fast. Crypto Investing Will Never Be The Same. - Investor's Business Daily [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin has surged 67% in value since Septemberhere's why - CNBC [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Institutions Need the ETF, Not Bitcoin, Says Bybit CEO - Cryptonews [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Coinbase Stock Wobbles as Analyst Warns Gains From Bitcoin ETFs Might Disappoint - Barron's [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin ETFs Are Almost Here. The Fee War Is Already Heating Up. - Barron's [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin ETFs will solve unit bias psychology, says VanEck adviser - Cointelegraph [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin traders see breakout as bulls cling to $44K in ETF countdown - Cointelegraph [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin bounces back above $44,000 amid volatile start to 2024 - CNBC [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin tops $45,000 for the first time since April 2022 as crypto jumps to kick off new year - CNBC [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- VanEck to Donate 5% of BTC ETF Profits to Bitcoin Core Developers - CoinDesk [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Arthur Hayes Foresees 30% Bitcoin Crash Amid 'Vicious Washout.' Here's Why - CoinDesk [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- If a Bitcoin ETF Is Approved, Heres What May Happen - CoinDesk [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- US Economic Calendar & Bitcoin ETF Ruling in Weekly Spotlight - BeInCrypto [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin Price Drops. Crypto Investors Should Hedge Their Bets. - Barron's [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Marathon's bitcoin production growth surges, bolstered by high fees - The Block - Crypto News [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Investor cohorts outpace Bitcoin's monthly mined supply for the first time since early December - CryptoSlate [Last Updated On: January 8th, 2024] [Originally Added On: January 8th, 2024]
- Bitcoin is back above $68,000. Are we heading toward a new peak? - Quartz [Last Updated On: May 24th, 2024] [Originally Added On: May 24th, 2024]
- Bitcoin may be coming to the biggest crypto wallet on Ethereum - Quartz [Last Updated On: May 24th, 2024] [Originally Added On: May 24th, 2024]
- Could a pending ether ETF mimic the arc of spot bitcoin ETFs? - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: May 24th, 2024] [Originally Added On: May 24th, 2024]
- XRP Skyrockets 60% in Volume as XRP Price Outperforms Bitcoin - U.Today [Last Updated On: May 24th, 2024] [Originally Added On: May 24th, 2024]
- Im really sorry: Chris Pan on Ohio State Bitcoin speech, and how he was picked - NBC4 WCMH-TV [Last Updated On: May 24th, 2024] [Originally Added On: May 24th, 2024]
- Bitcoin surges to $71000 level today; what's driving the rally? - Mint [Last Updated On: May 24th, 2024] [Originally Added On: May 24th, 2024]
- Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs debut on London Stock Exchange after FCA nod - Cointelegraph [Last Updated On: May 24th, 2024] [Originally Added On: May 24th, 2024]