Bitcoin price preps for ‘bigger move’ as on-chain metrics ‘reset’ – Cointelegraph

Posted: May 24, 2024 at 2:49 am


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Bitcoins (BTC) price strived to hold above $70,000 on May 22 as Glassnode analysts suggested that the pioneer cryptocurrency is preparing for a bigger move to the upside.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView show that Bitcoins price has been steadily ascending after an extended downtrend from all-time highs. During this drawdown, BTC markets experienced periods of intense distributive pressure, which pulled its price to a low of $56,500 on May 1, the lowest since March 5.

Recent reporting from Glassnode notes that Bitcoins recent recovery to $71,000 is due to slowing sell-side pressure and compression of volatility, even as most key on-chain metrics tend toward an equilibrium.

Using the Supply Last Active Age Band metric, Glassnode analysts noted that the one-year and two-year cohorts experienced a large decline over the last two months. The 3y+ cohort continues to increase, suggesting this group is generally waiting for higher prices before parting ways with their coins.

Meanwhile, the Long-Term Holder (LTH) Binary Spending Indicator has been declining over the last few weeks, suggesting decreased distribution pressure.

Glassnode analysts also observed that a local divergence was starting to develop between LTH and STH Supply, adding weight to the case that there is a cooling off of distribution pressure across mature investors.

Bitcoins price recovery from the $56,500 low appears to have reset the price valuations and investor expectations on a longer-term market outlook based on various criteria. According to the Glassnode report, key on-chain metrics have rebalanced, suggesting a massive upside movement for BTC.

The firms on-chain data reveals that while new capital flowing into the Bitcoin network has slowed down considerably from its all-time highs, its realized cap is still positive enough to stimulate price action.

Using the Sell-Side Risk metric to monitor volatility, Glassnode analysts evaluated the total value locked in by coins spent on-chain (Realized Profit + Realized Loss) in relation to the size of the asset class (Realized Cap). They found that the Sell-Side Risk Ratio has declined significantly over recent weeks, suggesting that the market has found a degree of equilibrium over the course of this correction.

Glassnode concludes that while an intense period of mature investor distribution followed Bitcoins run toward the $73,835 all-time high, sell-side pressure has markedly declined.

The report noted that this has led to a reduction in headwinds and overhead resistance, with even modest demand able to stimulate positive price action.

Bitcoins May 1 flash crash to $56,500 was followed by a sharp recovery above $60,000, a level it has held above since then. Popular trader and analyst, Daan Crypto Trades said,

Data from on-chain data provider IntoTheBlock reinforced the importance of this level. Its In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) model showed that two significant support lines sat above the $60,000 mark. They lay between the $61,553 and $67,860 price range, where approximately 1.5 million BTC were previously bought by 3.66 million addresses.

This demand area is robust enough to produce the buying pressure required to push the price higher.

Another analyst Ali Martinez shared the following chart in the X social platform showing MVRV Pricing Bands and said,

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin price preps for 'bigger move' as on-chain metrics 'reset' - Cointelegraph

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May 24th, 2024 at 2:49 am

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